Commentary/ Mani Shakar Aiyar
Gujral should work on the Left to let the Congress in
Of course, the Congress does not have the numbers to give Gujral
a safe majority, but because the Congress cannot come in unless
the Left lets them in, whenever - and if ever - the Congress does
come in, the Left and the Congress will command between them some
200 seats.
Gujral could then stare down any UF partner attempting to get
above its station in life. But will the Left let Gujral let the
Congress in? On the face of it - no. On the other hand, the only
person in the present Parliament who can bring the Left around
is Gujral.
After all, he is almost one of them. And his physical resemblance
to Lenin must be reassuring to our comrades whose other icons
have crumbled to dust.
But, alas, mere physical resemblance will not persuade the Left.
Gujral will have to prove that something of Lenin is left in his
thought processes.
His pre-election interview on Doordarshan struck the right note
or, should I say, the left note. He had asserted unambiguously
that this country could be held together only on the basis of
"left-of-centre" policies.
That assertion stands totally belied by his government's first
policy decision: the wholesale, uncritical adoption of Chidambaram's
budget, the most right-wing budget that any finance minister in
50 years of Independence has dared present the nation.
Chidambaram's budget is the repudiation of everything that Jawaharlal
Nehru stood for. That is why the Confederation of Indian Industries
is exulting. And that is why Gujral, seeking a vote of confidence
from the CII before seeking it from Parliament, is so disturbing.
It flatly contradicts his avowed espousal of left-of-centre policies.
Never mind. For a budget is a budget. All its figures are
wrong and it will take just about the time the Gujral government
will last without the Congress - six months - for the chickens
to come to roost.
There is no escaping a supplementary budget this autumn that will
drastically alter the direction and content of the Deve Gowda
government's economic policy. That would be the time for the real
Gujral to stand up.
At the moment, he is under compulsion to adopt Chidambaram's wholly
illegitimate baby. Six months down the line, Gujral can insist
on his own baby. In doing so, he will have to invoke his second
portfolio - minister for national unity.
A CII-led democracy is a contradiction in terms. When the coming
crisis arrives, when Chidambaram's figures are revealed to be
the fudge they are, Gujral, in re-doing the sums, will have to
heed his Nehruvian conscience.
He has already declared that he does not believe in growth without
social justice. Chidambaram and his budget epitomise growth without
social justice. That is because Chidambaram's role model is Lee
Kwan Yew, not Jawaharlal Nehru.
Gujral will either have to become Chidambaram's Goh Kok Cheng
- or remain himself, a true Nehruvian. When the imperatives of
social justice catch up with him - at the time of the supplementary
budget, no later - the Left will rediscover itself.
And Gujral will then have to tell the Left that if right-wing
pressures within the cabinet are to be resisted, the only way
of doing so without risking the disintegration of his government,
would be to allow in the countervailing force of the Congress.
If Gujral fails in persuading the Left to see sense, he will be
back in Maharani Bagh before next winter is out. I do not wish
to boast - but the seven-year track record of these columns in
predicting the eventual outcome, has been dangerously accurate,
especially when swimming against the tide of other people's opinion.
But because I am convinced that the real Gujral - as distinct
from the ersatz Gujral who is today begging the TMC to come back
- is the best prime minister this country can, at this juncture,
have.
I hope, I pray, that Gujral will read the writing on the wall
(or at least this column) and work on the Left to come in with
the Congress into a Gujral-led government.
That will take the country back, in the 50th year of
its Independence, to the moorings from which it has cut itself
adrift. That - and that alone - will give us something to celebrate
in this golden jubilee year of our freedom.
Gujral must re-establish the continuity of this nation's destiny
with the legacy of that great man who first unfurled the flag
of freedom from the ramparts of the Red Fort. Jai Hind!
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